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[1]陈鹏冲,刘畅,葛黄徐,等.城市大面积停电应急能力评估指标探讨*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(6):5-12.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.06.001]
　CHEN Pengchong,LIU Chang,GE Huangxu,et al.Research on evaluation indexes of emergency capability for urban large-scale blackout[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2023,19(6):5-12.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.06.001]
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城市大面积停电应急能力评估指标探讨*
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
19
期数:
2023年6期
页码:
5-12
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2023-06-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on evaluation indexes of emergency capability for urban large-scale blackout
文章编号:
1673-193X(2023)-06-0005-08
作者:
陈鹏冲; 刘畅; 葛黄徐; 张华杰; 钟茂华
（1.清华大学 工程物理系公共安全研究院，北京 100084；
2.中国电力科学研究院有限公司，北京 100192；
3.国网浙江省电力有限公司嘉兴供电公司，浙江 嘉兴 314033)
Author(s):
CHEN Pengchong;  LIU Chang;  GE Huangxu;  ZHANG Huajie;  ZHONG Maohua
(1.Institute of Public Safety Research,Department of Engineering Physics,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China;
2.China Electric Power Research Institute,Beijing 100192,China;
3.Jiaxing Power Supply Company,State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Company,Jiaxing Zhejiang 314033,China)
关键词:
大面积停电; 特征选择; 层次分析法; 熵权法
Keywords:
large-scale blackout;  feature selection;  analytic hierarchy process (AHP);  entropy weight method
分类号:
X913
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.06.001
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为科学应对城市大面积停电事件并提升应急能力，首先基于我国部分省、市、县（区）及电力相关企业发布的198份大面积停电事件应急预案，按照应急处置流程总结预防准备、监测预警、处置救援、评估重建4个一级指标和11个二级指标；其次，提取预案中针对城市的高频风险因素构建三级指标；最后，结合层次分析法和熵权法计算各个指标的综合权重值并结合实例进行验证分析。研究结果表明：基于特征选择构建的应急能力指标体系与实际应急处置过程和措施具有一致性，能够全面表征城市大面积停电应急能力的关键节点；增加对权重值较大指标的投入能够有效提升城市电网系统应急处置能力。研究结果可为城市提升其应对大面积停电应急处置能力提高参考。
Abstract:
In order to scientifically respond to urban large-scale blackout events and improve the emergency capability,firstly,based on 198 emergency plans of large-scale blackout events issued by some provinces,cities,counties (districts) and power-related enterprises in China,4 first-level indexes and 11 second-level indexes of prevention and preparation,monitoring and early warning,disposal and rescue,evaluation and reconstruction were summarized according to the emergency response process.Secondly,the three-level indexes were constructed by extracting the high-frequency risk factors of the city in the plan.Finally,the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) combined with entropy weight method were used to calculate the comprehensive weight value of each index,and the verification analysis was carried out by actual case.The results showed that the emergency capability index system constructed on the basis of feature selection is consistent with the actual emergency response processes and measures,which can fully characterize the key nodes of emergency capability for urban large-scale blackout.Increasing the input of indexes with larger weight values can effectively improve the emergency disposal capability of urban power grid system.The research results can provide reference for cities to improve their emergency disposal for urban large-scale blackout.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2022-12-18
* 基金项目： 国家电网有限公司科技项目(5500-202019469A-0-0-00)
作者简介： 陈鹏冲，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为电网应急能力评估。
通信作者： 钟茂华，博士，研究员，主要研究方向为地铁安全。
更新日期/Last Update: 2023-07-09