|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]陈文强,王迪.基于灾害演化动力学模型的城市韧性增强机制研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(5):14-20.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.05.002]
 CHEN Wenqiang,WANG Di.Study on urban resilience enhancement mechanism based on disaster evolution dynamics model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2023,19(5):14-20.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.05.002]
点击复制

基于灾害演化动力学模型的城市韧性增强机制研究*
分享到:

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
19
期数:
2023年5期
页码:
14-20
栏目:
学术论著
出版日期:
2023-05-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on urban resilience enhancement mechanism based on disaster evolution dynamics model
文章编号:
1673-193X(2023)-05-0014-07
作者:
陈文强王迪
(天津理工大学 管理学院,天津 300384)
Author(s):
CHEN Wenqiang WANG Di
(School of Management,Tianjin University of Technology,Tianjin 300384,China)
关键词:
灾害演化韧性增强机制适应能力吸收能力恢复能力
Keywords:
disaster evolution resilience enhancement mechanism adaptive capacity absorptive capacity recovery capacity
分类号:
X915.5;X913.4
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2023.05.002
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为探究城市系统抗灾防灾能力提升的机制,运用灾害演化动力学模型度量城市韧性中的吸收能力、恢复能力和适应能力,从灾害演化与城市系统和子系统互动联系的视角,分析城市韧性增强机制,并提出不同自然灾害类型的城市韧性增强策略,建立城市韧性增强路径。研究结果表明:提高城市恢复能力会增强城市吸收和适应能力,随着恢复能力增加,对吸收、适应能力的增强效应越强;关注城市系统循环链中的入度较大节点,能更有效提升城市韧性。研究结果可为政府部门抵御灾害提供新的思路,并为政府部门制定针对性的灾害防护措施及修复策略提供依据。
Abstract:
In order to explore the mechanism for the improvement of disaster resistance and disaster prevention ability of urban system,the disaster evolution dynamics model was used to measure the absorptive capacity,recovery capacity and adaptive capacity of urban resilience.From the perspective of the interaction between disaster evolution and urban system and subsystems,the urban resilience enhancement mechanism was analyzed,and the urban resilience enhancement strategies of different disaster types were proposed to establish the urban resilience enhancement path.The results showed that improving the urban recovery capacity will enhance the urban absorptive and adaptive capacity,and with the increase of recovery capacity,the enhancement effect to the absorptive and adaptive capacity is stronger.Focusing on the nodes with large incoming degree in the urban system cycle chain can improve the urban resilience more effectively.The results can provide new idea for government departments to resist disasters,and is conducive to provide basis for government departments to formulate the targeted disaster protection measures and repair strategies.

参考文献/References:

[1]汪嘉俊,翁文国.多灾种概念辨析及灾害事故关系研究综述[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(11):57-64. WANG Jiajun,WENG Wenguo.Discrimination on concept of multi-hazard and review of research on relationship between disasters and accidents[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2019,15(11):57-64.
[2]国务院灾害调查组.河南郑州“7·20”特大暴雨灾害调查报告[EB/OL].(2022-01-21)[2022-10-21].https://www.mem.gov.cn/gk/sgcc/tbzdsgdcbg/202201/P020220121639049697767.pdf.
[3]饶文利,罗年学.台风风暴潮情景构建与时空推演[J].地球信息科学学报,2020,22(2):187-197. RAO Wenli,LUO Nianxue.Scenarios construction and spatial-temporal deduction of typhoon storm surge[J].Journal of Geo-information Science,2020,22(2):187-197.
[4]BOZZA A,ASPRONE D,MANFREDI G.Developing an integrated framework to quantify resilience of urban systems against disasters[J].Natural Hazards,2015,78(3):1729-1748.
[5]BRUNEAU M,CHANG S E,EGUCHI R T,et al.A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities[J].EarthquakeSpectra,2003,19(4):733-752.
[6]方东平,李在上,李楠,等.城市韧性—基于“三度空间下系统的系统”的思考[J].土木工程学报,2017,50(7):1-7. FANG Dongping,LI Zaishang,LI Nan,et al.Urban resilience:a perspective of system of systems in trio spaces.[J].China Civil Engineering Journal,2017,50(7):1-7.
[7]VUGRIN E D,WARREN D E,EHLEN M A.A resilience assessment framework for infrastructure and economic systems:quantitative and qualitative resilience analysis of petrochemical supply chains to a hurricane [J].Process Safety Progress,2011,30(3):280-290.
[8]黄浪,吴超,王秉.系统安全韧性的塑造与评估建模[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(12):15-21. HUANG Lang,WU Chao,WANG Bing.Modeling on shaping and assessment of system safety resilience [J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2016,12(12):15-21.
[9]张明斗,冯晓青.中国城市韧性度综合评价[J].城市问题,2018(10):27-36. ZHANG Mingdou,FENG Xiaoqing.Comprehensive evaluation of urban resilience in China [J].Urban Issues,2018(10):27-36.
[10]闫晨,陈锦涛,段芮,等.韧性城市视角下的历史街区防火韧性评估体系构建[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2020,16(10):133-138. YAN Chen,CHEN Jintao,DUAN Rui,et al.Construction of evaluation system for fireproof resilience of historic blocks from perspective of resilient city [J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology.2020,16(10):133-138.
[11]黄亚江,李书全,项思思.基于AHP-PSO模糊组合赋权法的地铁火灾安全韧性评估[J].灾害学,2021,36(3):15-20,40. HUANG Yajang,LI Shuquan,XIANG Sisi.Evaluation of subway fire safety resilience based on AHP-PSO fuzzy combination weighting method [J].Journal of Catastrophology,2021,36(3):15-20,40.
[12]缪惠全,王乃玉,汪英俊,等.基于灾后恢复过程解析的城市韧性评价体系[J].自然灾害学报,2021,30(1):10-27. MIU Huiquan,WANG Naiyu,WANG Yingjun,et al.Urban resilience evaluation system based on post-disaster recovery process analysis [J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2021,30(1):10-27.
[13]刘彦平.城市韧性系统发展测度—基于中国288个城市的实证研究[J].城市发展研究,2021,28(6):93-100. LIU Yanping.Urban resilience system development measurement:based on an empirical study of 288 Chinese cities[J].Urban Development Studies,2021,28(6):93-100.
[14]赵冬月,施波,陈以琴,等.协同管理对城市韧性增强机制的影响[J].管理评论,2016,28(8):207-214. ZHAO Dongyue,SHI Bo,CHEN Yiqin,et al.Effect of collaborative management on enhancement mechanism of urban resilience [J].Management Review,2016,28(8):207-214.
[15]李瑞奇,黄弘,周睿.基于韧性曲线的城市安全韧性建模[J].清华大学学报(自然科学版),2020,60(1):1-8. LI Ruiqi,HUANG Hong,ZHOU Rui.Resilience curve modeling of urban safety resilience[J].Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology),2020,60(1):1-8.
[16]郭海湘,李亚楠,黎金玲,等.基于灾害多级联动模型的城市综合承灾能力研究[J].系统管理学报,2014,23(1):91-103,110. GUO Haixiang,LI Yanan,LI Jinling,et al.A study on urban disaster-carrying capacity based on multilevel disaster linkage model[J].Systems Engineering & Theory Management,2014,23(1):91-103,110.
[17]BUZNA L,PETERS K,HELBING D.Modelling the dynamics of disaster spreading in networks[J].Physica A:Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications,2006,363(1):132-140.
[18]WENG W G,NI S J,YUAN H Y,et al.Modeling the dynamics of disaster spreading from key nodes in complex networks[J].International Journal of Modern Physics C,2007,18(5):889-901.
[19]OUYANG M,FEI Q,YU M H,et al.Effects of redundant systems on controlling the disaster spreading in networks[J].Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory,2009,17(2):390-397.
[20]CHEN C K,LI Z,SUN Y F.A new model for describing evolution and control of disaster system including instantaneous and continuous actions[J].International Journal of Modern Physics C,2010,21(3):307-332.
[21]LI J,CHEN C.Modeling the dynamics of disaster evolution along causality networks with cycle chains[J].Physica A:Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications,2014,401:251-264.

相似文献/References:

[1]李乔楚,张鹏.集成灾害系统和D/I模型的岩溶区燃气管道致灾演化层次结构分析*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2024,20(7):35.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.07.005]
 LI Qiaochu,ZHANG Peng.Hierarchical structure analysis on disaster evolution of gas pipeline in karst area integrating disaster system and D/I model[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2024,20(5):35.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.07.005]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期: 2022-10-31
* 基金项目: 天津市艺术科学规划项目(D22004)
作者简介: 陈文强,博士,讲师,主要研究方向为工程安全与风险管理、城市韧性等。
通信作者: 王迪,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为风险管理与安全管理、工程监测智能化。
更新日期/Last Update: 2023-06-12