|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]段雨阳,何雅琴.基于Logistic的不同车型碰撞行人事故严重程度致因分析*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2022,18(1):175-181.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.01.028]
　DUAN Yuyang,HE Yaqin.Causes analysis on severity of pedestrian collision accidents with different vehicle types based on Logistic[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2022,18(1):175-181.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.01.028]
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基于Logistic的不同车型碰撞行人事故严重程度致因分析*
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
18
期数:
2022年1期
页码:
175-181
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2022-01-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Causes analysis on severity of pedestrian collision accidents with different vehicle types based on Logistic
文章编号:
1673-193X(2022)-01-0175-07
作者:
段雨阳; 何雅琴
（武汉科技大学 汽车与交通工程学院，湖北 武汉 430065）
Author(s):
DUAN Yuyang;  HE Yaqin
(School of Automobile and Traffic Engineering,Wuhan University of Science and Technology,Wuhan Hubei 430065,China)
关键词:
交通安全; 人车碰撞事故; 事故严重程度; 不同车型; 累计logistic模型
Keywords:
traffic safety;  human-vehicle collision accident;  accident severity;  different vehicle types;  cumulative logistic model
分类号:
X951
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2022.01.028
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为定量分析不同车型碰撞行人事故严重程度影响因素，以美国北卡罗来纳州2007—2016年人车碰撞事故数据为样本，将其分为小轿车、SUV、货车碰撞行人事故3类，以事故严重程度为因变量，交通参与者属性、道路、环境条件和事故特征为候选自变量，分别建立累计logistic模型进行对比分析，探究人、车、路和环境因素对人车碰撞事故严重程度的影响。结果表明：模型拟合较好且3个模型预测精度指标均大于0.7；涉及不同车型的人车碰撞事故严重程度影响因素之间存在异同性。研究结果可为降低人车碰撞事故严重性提供参考。
Abstract:
In order to analyze the factors affecting the severity of pedestrian collision accidents with different vehicle types quantitatively,taking the human-vehicle collision accidents data in North Carolina of USA from 2007 to 2016 as the samples,the accidents were divided into three types,including the pedestrian collision accidents with cars,SUVs,and trucks.Taking the severity of the accident as the dependent variable,and the attributes of traffic participants,road,environmental conditions and accident characteristics as the candidate independent variables,the cumulative logistic models were established respectively to carry out the comparative analysis,and the influence of human,vehicle,road and environmental factors on the severity of human-vehicle collision accident was explored.The results showed that the model fitted well through various tests,and the prediction accuracy indexes of three models were all greater than 0.7.There were similarities and differences among the factors affecting the severity of pedestrian collision accidents with different vehicle types.The research results can provide reference for reducing the severity of human-vehicle collision accidents.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2021-03-16
* 基金项目： 国家自然科学基金项目 (51408445)
作者简介： 段雨阳，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为交通安全与管理。
通信作者： 何雅琴，博士，副教授，主要研究方向为交通应急管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2022-02-19