|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]郑霞忠,朱炜,张明.基于指数变权的水电站施工安全现状可拓评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(10):157-163.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.10.025]
　ZHENG Xiazhong,ZHU Wei,ZHANG Ming.Extension assessment on current situation of construction safety for hydropower station based on exponential variable weight[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(10):157-163.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.10.025]
点击复制

基于指数变权的水电站施工安全现状可拓评价
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
14
期数:
2018年10期
页码:
157-163
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2018-10-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Extension assessment on current situation of construction safety for hydropower station based on exponential variable weight
文章编号:
1673-193X(2018)-10-0157-07
作者:
郑霞忠1; 2; 朱炜1; 2; 张明1; 2
（1.三峡大学 水利与环境学院，湖北 宜昌 443002； 2. 三峡大学 安全生产标准化评审中心，湖北 宜昌 443002）
Author(s):
ZHENG Xiazhong1; 2;  ZHU Wei1; 2;  ZHANG Ming1; 2
(1. College of Hydraulic & Environmental Engineering, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei 443002, China;2. Center of Standardization Evaluation for Production Safety, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei 443002, China)
关键词:
水电工程; 安全评价; 多级可拓; 施工安全现状; 变权理论
Keywords:
hydropower project;  safety evaluation;  multilevel extension;  current situation of construction safety;  variable weight theory
分类号:
X947；TV5
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.10.025
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为弥补传统赋权方法主观意识较强的缺点，提出将变权思想与可拓学理论相结合的改进的多级可拓评价模型。结合水电站施工特点，构建涵盖厂址信息、施工总布置、道路及运输、辅助生产措施、作业安全、施工设备、安全管理行为、职业健康安全8个一级指标、47个二级指标的指标体系，引入变权理论确定指标权重，利用多级可拓评价法计算水电站施工安全现状的安全等级，并进行指标敏感性分析。研究结果表明：水电站施工安全现状等级变量特征值为2.42，即为“合格”，该结果基本符合工程实际。
Abstract:
In order to compensate for the strong subjective consciousness of the traditional weighting method, an improved multilevel extension evaluation model was proposed, which combined the variable weighting idea with the extension theory. Combined with the construction characteristics of hydropower station, an index system with eight firstlevel indexes covering 47 secondlevel indexes was established, including site information, general layout of construction, road and transportation, auxiliary production measures, operation safety, construction equipment, safety management behavior and occupational health and safety. The variable weight theory was introduced to determine the index weights, and the multilevel extension evaluation method was used to calculate the safety grade for the current situation of construction safety of the hydropower station, then the sensitivity analysis of the indexes was carried out. The results showed that the characteristic value of grade variable for the current situation of construction safety of the hydropower station was 2.42, namely “qualified ”, and the result was basically consistent with the engineering practice.

参考文献/References:

［1］彭盛华，翁立达. 水利水电工程环境管理与监测计划探讨［J］. 水利学报, 2001(10): 62-66. PENG Shenghua, WENG Lida. Study on environmental management and monitoring planning of hydro projects［J］. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 2001(10): 62-66.
［2］陈述，胡志根，刘全，等. 基于风险规避度不确定性的水电工程施工安全行为决策［J］. 水力发电学报, 2013, 32(1): 307-313. CHEN Shu, HU Zhigen, LIU Quan ，et al. Safety behavior decision in hydroelectric engineering construction with uncertain risk aversion［J］. Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering,2013,32(1):307-313.
［3］吴鹏飞，孙开畅，田斌. 基于结构方程的水利水电工程施工安全分析研究［J］. 长江科学院院报, 2014, 31(4): 93-96. WU Pengfei, SUN Kaichang, TIAN Bin. Safety analysis for hydroproject construction by structural equation modelling［J］. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute,2014, 31(4): 93-96.
［4］狄建华. 模糊数学理论在建筑安全综合评价中的应用［J］. 华南理工大学学报（自然科学版）, 2002, 30(7): 87-90, 98. DI Jianhua. Application of fuzzing mathematics for safety comprehensive assessment of construction［J］. Journal of South China University of Technology(Natural Science Edition), 2002, 30(7): 87-90, 98.
［5］JAVANBARG MB, SCAWTHORN C, KIYONO J ，et al. Fuzzy AHP-based multicriteria decision making systems using particle swarm optimization［J］. Expert Systems with Applications, 2012, 39(1): 960-966.
［6］张炜. 基于模糊综合评价法的中小水利水电工程施工质量评价［J］. 水电能源科学, 2014, 32(1): 157-160. ZHANG Wei. Constructionquality evaluation of medium and small water conservancy and hydropower project based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method［J］.International Journal Hydroelectric Energy, 2014, 32(1): 157-160.
［7］郑霞忠，邵波，陈玲，等. 基于Euclid理论的水电工程施工安全熵评价［J］. 中国安全科学学报, 2014, 24(6): 38-43. ZHENG Xiazhong, SHAO Bo, CHEN Ling， et al. Safety entropy evaluation of hydropower construction based on Euclid theory［J］. China Safety Science Journal, 2014, 24(6): 38-43.
［8］ZHAO H L, YAO L H, MEI G ，et al. A Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method based on AHP and entropy for a landslide susceptibility map［J］. Entropy, 2017, 19(8): 396.
［9］ZHAO B, Xu W Y, LIANG G L，et al. Stability evaluation model for high rock slope based on element extension theory［J］. Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment, 2015, 74(2): 301-314.
［10］李德清，郝飞龙. 状态变权向量的变权效果［J］. 系统工程理论与实践, 2009, 29(6): 127-131. LI Deqing，HAO Feilong. Weights transferring effect of state variable weights vector［J］. Systems Engineering Theory & Practice, 2009, 29(6): 127-131.
［11］BIN H X, YANG Y P, YANG Y H. Fault diagnosis based on variable-weighted kernel Fisher discriminant analysis［J］. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 2008, 93(1): 27-33.
［12］国家安全生产监督管理总局.《安全评价通则》：AQ 8001-2007［Z］.2007-04-01.
［13］陈述，胡志根，刘全，等. 水电工程施工安全管理激励机制设计［J］. 系统工程学报, 2012, 27(4): 474-480. CHEN Shu, HU Zhigen, LIU Quan，et al. Incentive mechanism design for safety management of hydropower construction［J］. Journal of Systems Engineering, 2012, 27(4): 474-480.
［14］姜秀慧，朱渊岳. 基于《施工企业安全生产评价标准》的水利水电施工工程项目重大危险源评价［J］. 中国安全生产科学技术, 2012, 8(10): 185-190. JIANG Xiuhui, ZHU Yuanyue. Evaluation of major hazard for hydroelectric construction project based on the standard" Stand for the work safety assessment of construction company"［J］. Journal of Safety Science and Technology, 2012, 8(10): 185-190.
［15］樊宇，吴晓铭. 基于模糊综合评价法的水电工程施工安全评价［J］. 人民长江, 2014, 45(24): 10-13. FAN Yu, WU Xiaoming. Evaluation on construction safety of hydropower project based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method［J］. Yangtze River, 2014, 45(24): 10-13.
［16］申健民，党耀国，周伟杰，等. 基于指数函数的灰色动态多属性关联决策模型［J， 控制与决策, 2016, 31(8): 1441-1445. SHEN Jianmin, DANG Yaoguo, ZHOU Weijie，et al. Grey dynamic multiple attribute correlation decision-making modelbased on exponential function［J］.Control and Decision, 2016, 31(8): 1441-1445.
［17］高宁，高彩云. 利用非齐次指数函数构造GM(1,1)模型背景值的新方法［J］. 统计与决策, 2017(17): 24-27. GAO Ning, GAO Caiyun. A new approach of utilizing non-homogeneous exponential function to construct GM(1,1) model background value［J］. Statistics & Decision,2017(17): 24-27.
［18］吴菊华，晋良海，余迪，等. 面向非对称贴近度的地质灾害危险性评价可拓模型［J］. 中国安全科学学报, 2016, 26(9): 7-12. WU Juhua, JIN Lianghai, YU Di，et al. A symmetric closeness-oriented extension model for geological hazard assessment［J］. China Safety Science Journal, 2016, 26(9): 7-12.

相似文献/References:

[1]汪送,王瑛,李超.BP神经网络在航空机务人员本质安全程度评价中的应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2010,6(6):35.
[2]段礼祥,张来斌,钱永梅.AHP—模糊综合评价法在离心泵安全评价中的应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(2):127.
　DUAN Li xiang,ZHANG Lai bin,QIAN Yong mei.Application of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation in safety assessme of centrifuge pumpnt[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(10):127.
[3]金珠,马小平.基于核校准和SVM的煤矿安全组织管理因素分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(3):16.
　JIN Zhu,MA Xiao-ping.Analysis of organizational administrative factors in coal mine safety based on kernel alignment and SVM[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(10):16.
[4]陈杨,王为民,姜东方,等.基于故障树与灰色模糊理论的城市CNG加气站安全评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(4):123.
　Chen Yang,Wang Wei-min,JIANG Dong-fang,et al.Safety Assessment of the CNG station in city based on the Faulty Tree and Fuzzy-grey Theory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(10):123.
[5]吕显智,马建云,陶昆,等.基于模糊综合评价法的高层宾馆消防安全现状评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(5):138.
　LV Xian-zhi,MA Jian-yun,TAO Kun,et al.Establish?of fire safety evaluation system for high-rise hotel using the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(10):138.
[6]郭凯旋.PTA生产火灾爆炸危险性分析与评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(5):167.
　GUO Kai-xuan.Analysis and Assessment on Fire & Explosion Risk for PTA Production[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(10):167.
[7]朱劭涌,曹雄,刘磊,等.糠醛厂生产过程安全评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(6):118.
　ZHU Shao-yong,CAO Xiong,LIU Lei,et al.Safety Assessment on productive process in one furfural factory[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(10):118.
[8]文华,钮英建.功能安全评估在安全评价中的应用体系研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(7):116.
　WEN Hua NIU Ying-jian.Research on the Application of Functional Safety Assessment to Safety Evaluation[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(10):116.
[9]李曌,王金安.高速公路工程道路交通安全评价研究及工程应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(7):120.
　LI Zhao,WANG Jin-an.Study on evaluation of expressway traffic safety and engineering application[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(10):120.
[10]谭东宁,于立友.关于在风电场安全评价中增加信息安全评价内容的建议[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(7):151.
　Tan Dongning,Yu Liyou.Suggestions on the information security evaluation content increased the safety evaluation of wind power farms[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2011,7(10):151.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2017-11-28
基金项目： 国家自然科学基金项目(51878385)
作者简介： 郑霞忠,博士,教授,主要研究方向为水电工程安全管理。
通信作者： 朱炜，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为水电工程安全管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2018-11-07