|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]肖楚阳,宋守信.地铁电气火灾中机械方面影响因子系统动力学仿真分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(8):81-86.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.08.013]
　XIAO Chuyang,SONG Shouxin.System dynamics simulation analysis on mechanical influence factors for electric fire in metro[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2016,12(8):81-86.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.08.013]
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地铁电气火灾中机械方面影响因子系统动力学仿真分析
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
12
期数:
2016年8期
页码:
81-86
栏目:
现代职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2016-08-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
System dynamics simulation analysis on mechanical influence factors for electric fire in metro
作者:
肖楚阳; 宋守信
（北京交通大学 经济管理学院，北京 100044）
Author(s):
XIAO Chuyang;  SONG Shouxin
(School of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China)
关键词:
地铁; 电气火灾; 系统动力学; 安全投入; 仿真
Keywords:
metro;  electric fire;  system dynamics;  safety input;  simulation
分类号:
X934
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2016.08.013
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
在揭示地铁电气火灾机械方面影响因子的基础之上，运用系统动力学理论与分析 方法，构建地铁电气火灾机械方面影响因子仿真模型，对各影响因子进行动态预测。通 过对比分析不同因子的安全投入增长率对机械方面安全水平的影响大小，论证安全投入 与系统安全水平的相互关系，总结出最为有效地投资方案。结果为地铁安全管理工作提 供一定的理论指导，有助于提高地铁安全管理决策的科学性和预见性。
Abstract:
On the basis of revealing the mechanical influence factors for electric fire in metro, a simulation model on mechanical influence factors for electric fire in metro was constructed by using the system dynamics theory and analysis methods, and each influence factor was predicted dynamically. The relationship between safety input and system safety level was discussed through comparing and analyzing the influence by safety input increasing rate of various factors to mechanical safety level, and the most effective investment scheme was summarized. It can provide theoretical guidance for the safety management of metro, and also help to improve the scientific nature and predictability of safety management decision in metro.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
国家社会科学基金重点项目（13AZD088）
更新日期/Last Update: 2016-08-30