|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]罗景峰.可变模糊方法在旅游安全预警中的应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(9):181-186.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.09.031]
　LUO Jing-feng.Application of variable fuzzy method in early warning of tourism safety[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2014,10(9):181-186.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.09.031]
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可变模糊方法在旅游安全预警中的应用

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
10
期数:
2014年9期
页码:
181-186
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2014-09-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Application of variable fuzzy method in early warning of tourism safety
作者:
罗景峰1; 2
（1. 华侨大学 旅游学院, 福建泉州 362021;2. 中国旅游研究院 旅游安全研究基地,福建泉州 362021）
Author(s):
LUO Jing-feng1; 2
（1. College of Tourism, Huaqiao University, Quanzhou Fujian 362021, China; 2. Center for Tourism Safety& Security Research of China Tourism Academy, Quanzhou Fujian 362021, China）
关键词:
可变模糊方法; 旅游安全; 预警; 人-机-环境系统工程
Keywords:
variable fuzzy method;  tourism safety;  early warning;  man-machine-environment system engineering
分类号:
X913.4;F59
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2014.09.031
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
在系统分析了旅游安全预警问题的基础上，从人-机-环境系统工程的视角出发，将可变模糊集理论引入旅游安全研究领域，建立了由预警指标体系、可变模糊综合评价模型、预警模式以及预警信息等四个部分组成旅游安全预警系统，提出了旅游安全预警的可变模糊方法。该方法综合考虑各级别相对隶属度对最终评价结果的影响，以级别特征值判断标准代替经典模糊集的最大隶属度原则，通过变化模型及其参数，合理地确定出样本的评价级别，从而实现对旅游地安全状况的预警评价，是传统模糊评价方法的发展。结果表明：所建立的可变模糊预警模型不但能够定量辨别旅游地的安全等级，而且能够区分同一等级不同样本的相对安全性，为进行旅游安全预警提供了一条新途径。
Abstract:
The early warning of tourism safety is a complicated systems engineering. By analyzing the problems in early warning of tourism safety, in the perspective of man-machine-environment system engineering, the theory of variable fuzzy sets was introduced into the field of tourism safety, and the early warning system of tourism safety was established. The system included early warning indicator system, variable fuzzy comprehensive assessment model, early warning model and early warning information. A variable fuzzy method on early warning of tourism safety was presented. The method took into account the impacts of relative membership degree on the assessment results, and the grade characteristic value criterion was used instead of maximum membership degree principle. The method can reasonably determine the assessment level of each sample by varying the model and its parameters. It is an improvement of traditional fuzzy assessment. The early warning system can function as good way to reflect the safety situation of tourism destination. The case study showed that the variable fuzzy method proves to be available for the safety grade assessment of tourism destination, and it provides a new way for early warning of tourism safety.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
华侨大学科研基金项目（13KBS114）
更新日期/Last Update: 2014-09-30