[1]陈迎欣,葛然,周蕾.应急信息赋能重大公共危机事件应急疏散研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2024,20(2):21-27.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.02.003]
CHEN Yingxin,GE Ran,ZHOU Lei.Research on emergency information empowering emergency evacuation for major public crisis events[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2024,20(2):21-27.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.02.003]
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应急信息赋能重大公共危机事件应急疏散研究*
CHEN Yingxin,GE Ran,ZHOU Lei.Research on emergency information empowering emergency evacuation for major public crisis events[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2024,20(2):21-27.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.02.003]
《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]
- 卷:
- 20
- 期数:
- 2024年2期
- 页码:
- 21-27
- 栏目:
- 学术论著
- 出版日期:
- 2024-02-29
文章信息/Info
- Title:
- Research on emergency information empowering emergency evacuation for major public crisis events
- 文章编号:
- 1673-193X(2024)-02-0021-07
- Keywords:
- major public crisis events; emergency information; information empowering; emergency evacuation
- 分类号:
- X913.2
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 为了揭示应急信息赋能应急疏散的黑箱，降低公共卫生事件造成的财产损失和人员伤亡，运用防护性行为决策模型（PADM），基于风险感知和利益相关者感知视角，考虑时空环境调节作用，深入剖析应急信息对公众应急疏散的影响；基于系统动力学理论，结合公共危机事件情境中个体和群体2种动态反馈性，建立应急信息作用下应急疏散系统动力学模型。研究结果表明：应急信息在疏散速度、疏散人数和疏散效率方面具有显著的赋能效果。研究结果有助于提高政府信息发布质量，可为提升应急疏散效率提供理论支持和方法借鉴。
- Abstract:
- In order to reveal the black box of emergency information empowering emergency evacuation,and reduce the property losses and casualties caused by public health events,the influence of emergency information on the public emergency evacuation was deeply analyzed by using the PADM model based on the perspectives of risk perception and stakeholder perception with considering the role of space and time environment regulation.Based on the theory of system dynamics,a system dynamic model of emergency evacuation under the effect of emergency information was established by combining with the dynamic feedback of individuals and groups.The results show that emergency information has a significant empowering effect in terms of evacuation speed,number of evacuees,and evacuation efficiency.The research results are helpful to improve the quality of government information release,and provide theoretical support and method reference for improving the efficiency of emergency evacuation.
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备注/Memo
- 备注/Memo:
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收稿日期： 2023-09-13
* 基金项目： 国家社会科学基金项目（22BGL241）
作者简介： 陈迎欣，博士，教授，主要研究方向为公共安全与危机管理，城市治理与公共政策。
通信作者： 葛然，硕士研究生，主要研究方向为公共安全与危机管理，城市治理与公共政策。
