|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]薛晓辉,周玲,秦爱红.库岸涉水滑坡危险性现状分析与预测评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2021,17(5):169-175.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.05.026]
 XUE Xiaohui,ZHOU Ling,QIN Aihong.Status analysis and prediction assessment on risk of wading landslide on reservoir bank[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2021,17(5):169-175.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.05.026]
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库岸涉水滑坡危险性现状分析与预测评价
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
17
期数:
2021年5期
页码:
169-175
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2021-05-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Status analysis and prediction assessment on risk of wading landslide on reservoir bank
文章编号:
1673-193X(2021)-05-0169-07
作者:
薛晓辉周玲秦爱红
(1.陕西铁路工程职业技术学院,陕西 渭南 714000;
2.西安思源学院,陕西 西安,710038;
3.青岛理工大学 琴岛学院,山东 青岛 266106)
Author(s):
XUE Xiaohui ZHOU Ling QIN Aihong
(1.Shaanxi Railway Institute,Weinan Shaanxi 714000,China;
2.Xi’an Siyuan University,Xi’an Shaanxi 710038,China;
3.Qindao College,Qingdao Technological University,Qingdao Shandong 266106,China)
关键词:
库岸滑坡危险性层次分析法支持向量机变形预测
Keywords:
reservoir bank landslide risk analytic hierarchy process (AHP) support vector machine deformation prediction
分类号:
X956
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.05.026
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为合理评价库岸涉水滑坡危险性,基于层次分析法与模糊理论,构建滑坡危险性现状评价模型,并利用优化支持向量机构建滑坡变形预测模型,通过对比分析实现滑坡危险性综合判断。结果表明:大柿树滑坡危险性现状为69.78分,风险等级为Ⅲ级,属高度危险;通过危险性预测评价,滑坡变形呈持续增加趋势,将趋于不利方向发展;综合滑坡危险性现状分析与预测评价结果可知,滑坡危险性相对较大。研究结果可为滑坡灾害防治提供一定理论依据。
Abstract:
In order to reasonably assess the risk of wading landslide on the reservoir bank,a model of status assessment on the landslide risk was constructed based on the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy theory,and a prediction model of landslide deformation was constructed by using the optimized support vector mechanism.The prediction and assessment of landslide risk were conducted,and the comprehensive judgment of landslide risk was realized through the comparative analysis.The results showed that the status score of Dashishu landslide risk was 69.78,and the risk level was grade III,which was highly dangerous.Through the risk prediction and assessment,the landslide deformation tended to increase continuously,and the risk would tend to develop in an adverse direction.Through integrating the status analysis results and prediction assessment results of landslide risk,it was concluded that the landslide risk was relatively high,and the disaster prevention and control should be strengthened.The research results can provide certain theoretical basis for the prevention and control of landslide disaster.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期: 2021-02-01
作者简介: 薛晓辉,硕士,副教授,主要研究方向为施工技术与工程管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2021-06-03