|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]王威,刘畅,刘朝峰.基于多因素信息融合的城市供水安全评价系统[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(11):180-185.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.11.029]
　WANG Wei,LIU Chang,et al.Study on evaluation system of urban water supply safety based on multifactor information fusion[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(11):180-185.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.11.029]
点击复制

基于多因素信息融合的城市供水安全评价系统
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
14
期数:
2018年11期
页码:
180-185
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2018-11-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on evaluation system of urban water supply safety based on multifactor information fusion
文章编号:
1673-193X(2018)-11-0180-06
作者:
王威1; 2; 刘畅1; 刘朝峰3
(1.北京工业大学 抗震减灾研究所，北京 100124；2.北京工业大学 建筑与城市规划学院，北京 100124；3. 河北工业大学 土木与交通学院，天津 300401)
Author(s):
WANG Wei1;  2;  LIU Chang1;  LIU Chaofeng3
(1. Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China;2. College of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China;3. College of Civil and Transportation, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300401, China)
关键词:
供水安全; 预警等级; DS证据理论; 基本概率分配函数; 组合权重
Keywords:
water supply safety;  warning level;  DS evidence theory;  basic probability assignment function;  combination weight
分类号:
X956
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.11.029
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了确定城市供水安全状态，提出1种基于多因素信息融合思想的城市供水安全评价方法。以城市供水安全指标体系为基础，建立供水安全指标与基本概率指派函数焦元的对应关系；采用组合权重确定各评价指标的权重值作为对指标证据的支持程度，通过加权合成方法得到各因素定量、定性信息的基本概率指派函数值，利用证据理论的Dempster组合规则进行因素融合。研究结果表明：以郑州市供水安全指标体系为例，在进行多指标信息融合时与解决证据冲突的融合方法计算结果相同，郑州市2006——2008年城市供水处于不安全状态，2008年以后安全等级逐步升高且趋于稳定状态，可以预测出在未来一段时间郑州市的供水处于安全状态。
Abstract:
In order to determine the status of urban water supply safety, an evaluation method of urban water supply safety based on the ideas of multifactor information fusion was put forward. Based on the index system of urban water supply safety, the corresponding relationship between the indexes of water supply safety and the focal elements of basic probability assignment function was established. The weight values of each evaluation index were determined by using the combination weight and taken as the supporting degree to the indexes evidence, then the values of basic probability assignment function for the quantitative and qualitative information of each factor were obtained by using the weighted synthesizing method, and the factor fusion was carried out by using the Dempster combination rule of evidence theory. The results showed that the comparison results of this method and the fusion method proposed by the former researchers to solve the evidence conflict were the same, which proved the feasibility of this method for solving the evidence conflict. Taking the index system of water supply safety in Zhengzhou as an example, the urban water supply of Zhengzhou from 2006 to 2008 was in the unsafe status, and the safety level increased gradually and tended to the stable status after 2008, so it was predicted that the water supply of Zhengzhou in the future period would be a safe status.

参考文献/References:

［1］CAROLIN S. Calculating a water poverty index［J］. World Development, 2002, 30(7): 1195-1210.
［2］韩宇平,阮本清,解建仓,等. 物元模型及其在区域水资源综合评判中的应用［J］. 中国农业大学学报,2003(1):31-36. HAN Yuping, RUAN Benqing, XIE Jiancang,et al. Matter-element model and its application in comprehensive evaluation of regional water resources［J］. Journal of China Agricultural University, 2003(1):31-36.
［3］李如忠. 模糊物元模型在区域水安全评价中的应用［J］.水土保持研究,2005(5):225-227. LI Ruzhong. Application of fuzzy matter-element model in evaluation of regional water security［J］. Research of Soil and Water Conservation, 2005(5):225-227.
［4］金菊良,吴开亚,魏一鸣. 基于联系数的流域水安全评价模型［J］.水利学报,2008(4):401-409. JIN Juliang, WU Kaiya, WEI Yiming. Watershed water safety assessment model based on contact number ［J］. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 2008(4): 401-409.
［5］韩德强,杨艺,韩崇昭. D-S证据理论研究进展及相关问题探讨［J］.控制与决策,2014,29(1):1-11. HAN Deqiang. YANG Yi, HAN Chongzhao. Advances in research on DS evidence theory and related issues［J］. Control and Decision, 2014, 29(1):1-11.
［6］赵平,裴晓丽,薛剑. 基于信息融合的建筑施工安全预警管理研究［J］.中国安全科学学报,2009,19(10):106-110+179. ZHAO Ping, PEI Xiaoli, XUE Jian. Research on building construction security early warning management based on information fusion［J］. China Safety Science Journal,2009,19(10):106-110+179.
［7］马剑,叶新,林鹏. 基于证据理论的地铁火灾安全评价方法［J］.中国安全生产科学技术, 2017, 13(1): 134-140. MA Jian, YE Xin, LIN Peng. Evaluation method of subway fire safety based on evidence theory［J］. China Safety Science and Technology, 2017, 13(1): 134-140.
［8］郑霞忠,石法起,陈述,等. 基于D-S证据理论的地下洞室作业人员安全行为评价［J］.中国安全生产科学技术, 2016, 12(6): 158-162. ZHENG Xiazhong, SHI Faqi, CHEN Shu，et al. Evaluation of safety behavior of underground caverns based on D-S evidence theory［J］. China Safety Science and Technology, 2016, 12(6): 158-162.
［9］陈红,甘佐贤,谢羲,等. 基于信息熵与D-S证据理论的交通安全风险评估［J］. 安全与环境学报, 2014, 14(4): 100-105. CHEN Hong, GAN Zuoxian, XIE Wei, et al. Traffic safety risk assessment based on information entropy and D-S evidence theory［J］. Journal of Safety and Environment, 2014，14(4): 100-105.
［10］邓勇,施文康,朱振福. 一种有效处理冲突证据的组合方法［J］.红外与毫米波学报, 2004(1): 27-32. DENG Yong, SHI Wenkang, ZHU Zhenfu. A combined method for efficiently handling conflict evidence［J］.Journal of Infrared and Millimeter Waves, 2004(1): 27-32.
［11］JOUSSELME A L, GRENIER D, BOSSE E. A new distance between two bodies of evidence［J］. Information Fusion, 2001, 2(1): 91-101.
［12］韩宇平,阮本清. 区域水安全评价指标体系初步研究［J］. 环境科学学报, 2003, 23(2): 267-272. HAN Yuping, RUAN Benqing.Research on evaluation index system of water safety ［J］. Alta Scientiae Circumstantiate, 2003, 23(2)： 267-272.
［13］许洋. 基于集对分析法的郑州城区供水安全评价［D］.郑州：郑州大学，2017.
［14］郭金玉,张忠彬,孙庆云. 层次分析法的研究与应用［J］.中国安全科学学报, 2008, 18(5): 148-153. GUO Jinyu, ZHANG Zhongbin, SUN Qingyun. Research and application of analytic hierarchy process［J］. Chinese Journal of Safety Science, 2008, 18(5): 148-153.
［15］刘冀,王本德.基于组合权重的模糊可变模型及在防洪风险评价中应用［J］.大连理工大学学报,2009,49(2):272-275. LIU Ji, WANG Bende. Variable model based on combined weights and its application in flood risk assessment［J］. Journal of Dalian University of Technology,2009, 49(2): 272-275.
［16］苏晓燕,张蕙杰,李志强,等. 基于多因素信息融合的中国粮食安全预警系统［J］. 农业工程学报, 2011, 27(5): 183-189. SU Xiaoyan, ZHANG Huijie, LI Zhiqiang, et al. Early warning system of food security in China based on multi-factor information fusion ［J］. Journal of Agricultural Engineering, 2011, 27(5): 183-189.

相似文献/References:

[1]王威,宋卓,刘晓然,等.基于直觉模糊集的城市供水安全预警评价模型[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2019,15(4):180.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.04.028]
　WANG Wei,SONG Zhuo,LIU Xiaoran,et al.Early warning and evaluation model of urban water supply security based on intuitionistic fuzzy set[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2019,15(11):180.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2019.04.028]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2018-08-29
基金项目： 国家自然科学基金项目(51678017)；北京市教育委员会科技计划一般项目(KM201610005029)；河北省教育厅青年科学基金项目（QN2018094）
作者简介： 王威，博士，副研究员，主要研究方向为城市安全与防灾规划、生命线系统抗灾评价技术。
更新日期/Last Update: 2018-12-03