|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]蒋代,华敏,潘旭海.危化品储罐区多灾种耦合效应风险分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(9):144-150.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.09.023]
 JIANG Dai,HUA Min,PAN Xuhai.Risk analysis on multidisaster coupling effect in storage tank area of dangerous chemicals[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2018,14(9):144-150.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.09.023]
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危化品储罐区多灾种耦合效应风险分析
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《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
14
期数:
2018年9期
页码:
144-150
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2018-09-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Risk analysis on multidisaster coupling effect in storage tank area of dangerous chemicals
文章编号:
1673-193X(2018)-09-0144-07
作者:
蒋代华敏潘旭海
(南京工业大学 安全科学与工程学院,江苏 南京 210009)
Author(s):
JIANG Dai HUA Min PAN Xuhai
(College of Safety Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Technology, Nanjing Jiangsu 210009, China)
关键词:
多米诺效应多灾种耦合热辐射超压
Keywords:
domino effect multidisaster coupling thermal radiation overpressure
分类号:
X913.4
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2018.09.023
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
基于危化品储罐区内发生的多米诺效应,以单灾种引发的多米诺事故研究为基础,根据物理学中的触发器原理解释多灾种耦合引发储罐区其他罐体失效的场景,并提出基于物理学理论的多灾种耦合效应模型;基于一储罐区实例分别建立在火灾、爆炸情况下罐区的灾害扩展网络图,并通过无量纲化处理得到综合灾害扩展网络图;分析储罐区在多储罐受灾情况下的灾害扩展情形,得到当D1,D2发生灾害时,D4,D5灾害扩展概率最大;当D1,D8发生灾害时,D4灾害扩展概率最大,建立了多灾种耦合效应的关联图。研究结果对化工园区多灾种耦合的后果预测评估具有指导意义,有助于减少危化品储罐区多米诺效应的发生以及强化危化品储存的安全基础。
Abstract:
Based on the phenomenon of domino effect occurring in the storage tank area of dangerous chemicals, the scenario of multidisaster coupling which caused the failure of other tanks in the storage tank area was explained according to the trigger principle in the physics on the basis of the research on the domino accidents caused by single disaster, and a multidisaster coupling effect model based on the physics theory was put forward. Based on an example of a storage tank area, the disaster expansion network diagrams of the storage tank area in the situation of fire and explosion were established respectively, and the comprehensive disaster expansion network diagram was obtained through the dimensionless processing. The disaster expansion situation of the storage tank area in the case of multiple affected storage tanks was analyzed, which showed that when D1 and D2 occurred the disasters, D4 and D5 had the greatest disaster expansion probabilities, and when D1 and D8 occurred the disasters, D4 had the greatest disaster expansion probability. Moreover, an association diagram of the multidisaster coupling effect was established. The results have the guiding significance for the consequence prediction and evaluation of the multidisaster coupling in the chemical industry park, and are helpful to reduce the occurrence of domino effect in the storage tank area of dangerous chemicals and strengthen the safety foundation of dangerous chemicals storage.

参考文献/References:

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[1]于清华.多米诺效应阈值研究进展[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2011,7(10):212.
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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期: 2018-06-02
基金项目: 国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFC0800100,2016YFC0801500)
作者简介: 蒋代,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为危险化学品储罐区多米诺效应分析。
通信作者: 华敏,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为火灾数值模拟、灾害机理及预防。
更新日期/Last Update: 2018-10-09