|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]苟鹏飞,张立宁,韩国波,等.基于EW-AHP与未确知测度的商业综合体火灾应急预案评估*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2024,20(9):150-155.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.09.018]
　GOU Pengfei,ZHANG Lining,HAN Guobo,et al.Evaluation of fire emergency plan for commercial complex based on EW-AHP and uncertainty measurement[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2024,20(9):150-155.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.09.018]
点击复制

基于EW-AHP与未确知测度的商业综合体火灾应急预案评估*
分享到：

《中国安全生产科学技术》[ISSN:1673-193X/CN:11-5335/TB]

卷:
20
期数:
2024年9期
页码:
150-155
栏目:
职业安全卫生管理与技术
出版日期:
2024-09-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Evaluation of fire emergency plan for commercial complex based on EW-AHP and uncertainty measurement
文章编号:
1673-193X(2024)-09-0150-06
作者:
苟鹏飞; 张立宁; 韩国波; 安晶; 国蛟倩
（1.北京理工大学 爆炸科学与技术国家重点实验室，北京 100081；
2.华北科技学院 建筑工程学院，河北 三河 065201；
3.华北科技学院 电信学院，河北 三河 065201）
Author(s):
GOU Pengfei;  ZHANG Lining;  HAN Guobo;  AN Jing;  GUO Jiaoqian
(1.State Key Laboratory of Explosion Science and Technology,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China；
2.Architectural Engineering College,North China Institute of Science and Technology,Sanhe Hebei 065201,China；
3.Telecommunications College,North China Institute of Science and Technology,Sanhe Hebei 065201,China)
关键词:
商业综合体; 火灾应急预案; 层次分析法; 熵权法; 未确知测度
Keywords:
commercial complex;  fire emergency plan;  analytic hierarchy process (AHP);  entropy weight method;  uncertain measurement
分类号:
X913；TU998.1
DOI:
10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2024.09.018
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为科学准确地对商业综合体火灾应急预案效果进行判断，采用熵权（EW）-层次分析法（AHP）和未确知测度方法对其进行综合评估。首先从5个方面构建商业综合体火灾应急预案评估指标体系，该指标体系包括商场消防组织机构分配合理性等16个具体二级指标。然后，以3座商业综合体火灾应急预案为研究对象，进行验证分析。研究结果表明：评估案例L1、L2、L3的评估等级为优秀、优秀、良好，其中案例L3在火灾应急保障方面存在较多问题。研究结果可为城市商业综合体火灾应急预案编制以及消防管理提供决策参考。
Abstract:
In order to scientifically and accurately evaluate the effectiveness of fire emergency plan for commercial complex,the entropy weight (EW)-analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and uncertain measurement methods were used for comprehensive evaluation.Firstly,an evaluation index system of fire emergency plan for commercial complex was constructed from five aspects,which included 16 specific secondary indexes such as the rationality of the allocation of fire protection organizational structures in shopping malls.Then,the verification analysis was conducted on the fire emergency plans of three commercial complexes as the research object.Research results indicate that the assessment ratings for cases L1,L2,and L3 are Excellent,Excellent,and Good,respectively.Among these,case L3 has identified several issues in fire emergency preparedness.The research results can provide decision-making reference for the preparation of fire emergency plans for urban commercial complexes and their fire management.

参考文献/References:

［1］央视网.辽宁大连新长兴市场发生火灾 造成9人死亡［EB/OL］.(2022-01-02)［2024-01-02］.https://content-static.cctvnews.cctv.com/snow-book/index.html?item_id=2154383422866959714.
［2］人民网.韩国一购物中心发生火灾致7死1重伤［EB/OL］.(2022-09-27)［2024-07-27］.http://korea.people.com.cn/n1/2022/0927/c407864-32535148.html.
［3］应急管理部消防救援局.中国消防救援年鉴（2018年卷）［M］.北京：应急管理出版社,2018.
［4］应急管理部消防救援局.中国消防救援年鉴（2019年卷）［M］.北京：应急管理出版社,2019.
［5］应急管理部新闻宣传司.应急管理部消防救援局要求加强大型商业综合体火灾防控工作［EB/OL］.(2020-12-15)［2023-12-15］.https://www.mem.gov.cn/xw/bndt/202012/t20201215_375290.shtm.
［6］ZHAO X,DONG L A,YE X,et al.A data-driven emergency plan evaluation method based on improved RIMER［J］.Reliability Engineering & System Safety,2023,238:109472.
［7］陈鹏冲,刘畅,葛黄徐,等.城市大面积停电应急能力评估指标探讨［J］.中国安全生产科学技术,2023,19(6):5-12. CHEN Pengchong,LIU Chang,GE Huangxu,et al.Research on evaluation indexes of emergency capability for urban large-scale blackout ［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2023,19(6):5-12.
［8］路世昌,倪照鹏,刘鑫,等.大型商业综合体消防安全管理探讨［J］.消防科学与技术,2019,38(12):1752-1755. LU Shichang,NI Zhaopeng,LIU Xin,et al.Discussion on fire safety management of large commercial complexes［J］.Fire Science and Technology,2019,38(12):1752-1755.
［9］孙艺博.西安市地铁火灾事故应急预案质量评价与优化研究［D］.西安:西北大学,2019.
［10］XU Y,LI J,LIU Y.Research on quantitative evaluation of provincial government plans for public health emergencies in China［J］.SSRN Electronic Journal,2022：246097950.
［11］李健,徐艺,刘亦文.京津冀突发事件总体应急预案量化评价［J］.灾害学,2022,37(1):147-150. LI Jian,XU Yi,LIU Yiwen,et al.Quantitative evaluation of overall emergency plans of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei［J］.Journal of Catastrophology,2022,37(1):147-150.
［12］彭恒明,王铁骊.基于犹豫模糊语言集的核电厂场内应急预案评估研究［J］.科技管理研究,2021,41(1):181-186. PENG Hengming,WANG Tieli.Study on evaluation of the on-site emergency plan in nuclear power plant based on hesitant fuzzy linguistic term set ［J］.Science and Technology Management Research,2021,41(1):181-186.
［13］马恒,王苏.煤矿应急预案评估研究及在常村煤矿中的应用［J］.矿业安全与环保,2017,44(4):115-119. MA Heng,WANG Su.Research on mine emergency plan evaluation and its application in Changcun coal mine［J］.Mining Safety & Environmental Protection,2017,44(4):115-119.
［14］肖会敏,刘云鸽,翟婷,等.基于模糊—证据理论的突发事件应急预案评估［J］.数学的实践与认识,2021,51(2):321-328. XIAO Huimin,LIU Yunge,ZHAI Ting,et al.Evaluation of emergency based on fuzzy-evidence theory［J］.Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2021,51(2):321-328.
［15］李小飞,张谈贵,张学东,等.辐射事故应急预案的模糊综合评价［J］.环境监测管理与技术,2020,32(1):4-7. LI Xiaofei,ZHANG Tangui,ZHANG Xuedong,et al.Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of radiation accident emergency plan［J］.The Administration and Technique of Environmental Monitoring,2020,32(1):4-7.
［16］安景文,安娴,王龙康,等.基于犹豫模糊集的生产安全事故应急预案评估研究［J］.中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(5):128-133. AN Jingwen,AN Xian,WANG Longkang,et al.Study on evaluation of emergency plan for work safety accident based on hesitant fuzzy set［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2017,13(5):128-133.
［17］迟鹏德,曹庆贵.基于未确知测度理论的矿工不安全行为风险评估［J］.中国安全生产科学技术,2020,16(4):120-125. CHI Pengde,CAO Qinggui.Risk assessment on unsafe behavior of miners based on unascertained measurement theory［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2020,16(4):120-125.
［18］刘云熹,时德轶,张鹏,等.城市灾害事故应急能力评估指标体系构建研究［J］.中国安全生产科学技术,2024,20(1):179-186. LlU Yunxi,SHl Deyi,ZHANG Peng,et al.Research on construction of index system for emergency capability assessment of urban disasters and accidents［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2024,20(1):179-186.
［19］张渺,杨洪,谢洁.基于未确知测度与博弈论的地铁作业场所职业危害综合评价［J］.中国安全生产科学技术,2021,17(增刊2):158-165. ZHANG Miao,YANG Hong,XlE Jie.Comprehensive assessment of occupational hazards in metro workplaces based on unascertained measure and game theory［J］.Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2021,17(Supplement 2):158-165.

相似文献/References:

[1]刘勇,徐志胜,赵望达.商业综合体人员密度调查与分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(5):175.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.05.028]
　LIU Yong,XU Zhi-sheng,ZHAO Wang-da.Investigation and analysis on personnel density in commercial complex[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2015,11(9):175.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2015.05.028]
[2]孟令晗,张靖岩,杨玲.商业综合体灾害链风险评估研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2020,16(7):43.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.07.007]
　MENG Linghan,ZHANG Jingyan,YANG Ling.Research on risk assessment of disaster chains in commercial complex[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2020,16(9):43.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2020.07.007]
[3]马辉,张函冰,朱红杰.商业综合体中楼梯、自动扶梯和电梯多通道耦合疏散策略研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2021,17(3):149.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.03.023]
　MA Hui,ZHANG Hanbing,ZHU Hongjie.Study on multi-channel coupling evacuation strategy of stairs,escalators and elevators in commercial complex[J].JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY,2021,17(9):149.[doi:10.11731/j.issn.1673-193x.2021.03.023]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期： 2024-01-22
* 基金项目： 国家重点研发计划项目 (2022YFC3005701)；华北科技学院省级国际科技基地项目(20594501D)；河北省高等学校科学技术研究项目（Z2020117）；2021—2022年度河北省高等教育教学改革研究与实践项目（2021GJJG479）
作者简介： 苟鹏飞，博士研究生，主要研究方向为工程安全控制，安全评价方法。
通信作者： 韩国波，博士，副教授，主要研究方向为工程灾害应急管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2024-10-08